Behavioural Biases as Determinants of Stock Market Volatility: Evidence from the Indian Equity Market

Authors

  • Raksha Mittal , Institute of Management Studies, DAVV, Indore (M.P.)
  • Dr. Sanjay Sharma Indore Management Institute, Indore (M.P.)

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.26821/ijsrc.14.9.2026.140903

Keywords:

behavioural finance, stock market volatility, investor behaviour, market sentiment, investor decision-making

Abstract

Stock market is one of the principal platforms for buying and selling of securities by investors and traders. Conventional financial theory states that rational investors and security prices reflect the information efficiently. Conversely, emerging theories in behavioural finance states that cognitive and emotional biases lead investors to systematically depart from rational decision making. Such deviations have implications for asset prices, trading behaviour, and aggregate market volatility. The present paper studies the effect of behavioural biases like overconfidence, herding, loss aversion, anchoring and representativeness on the stock market volatility in the Indian equity market. The research provides an empirical framework based on market- and investor-level indicators. The study uses secondary data based quantitative research design and sample consists of daily observations of the Indian equity market for a ten-year time frame from 2016-2025. The NIFTY 50 and the BSE Sensex are the main Indian equity indices and the main market proxies. Volatility is modelled as a function of rolling standard deviations, return dispersion, GARCH-family measures or realized-volatility indicators, whereas proxies for behavioural effects are based on trading volume, turnover, investor-flow data, survey responses and market sentiment indicators. The basic idea is that behavioural biases generate short-term volatility in correlated trading, overreaction to news, and asymmetric reaction to gains and losses. The paper also explores the heterogeneity of the effect of behavioural biases across market conditions, in particular, during periods of financial stress and rapid market appreciation. The study concludes that stock volatility is highly impacted by behaviour biases of investors.

References

Antweiler, W., & Frank, M. Z. (2004). Is all that talk just cheap talk? The information content of internet stock message boards. The Journal of Finance, 59(3), 1259–1294

Banerjee, A. V. (1992). A simple model of herd behaviour. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107(3), 797–817.

Baker, M., & Wurgler, J. (2006). Investor sentiment and the cross-section of stock returns. The Journal of Finance, 61(4), 1645–1680.

Baker, M., & Wurgler, J. (2007). Investor sentiment in the stock market. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 21(2), 129–151.

Barber, B. M., Huang, X., Odean, T., & Schwarz, C. (2022). Attention-induced trading and returns: Evidence from Robinhood users. The Journal of Finance, 77(6), 3141–3190.

Barber, B. M., & Odean, T. (2000). Trading is hazardous to your wealth: The common stock investment performance of individual investors. The Journal of Finance, 55(2), 773–806.

Barber, B. M., & Odean, T. (2001). Boys will be boys: Gender, overconfidence, and common stock investment. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116(1), 261–292.

Barber, B. M., & Odean, T. (2008). All that glitters: The effect of attention and news on the buying behaviour of individual and institutional investors. The Review of Financial Studies, 21(2), 785–818.

Barberis, N., Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. (1998). A model of investor sentiment. Journal of Financial Economics, 49(3), 307–343.

Bikhchandani, S., & Sharma, S. (2000). Herd behaviour in financial markets. IMF Staff Papers, 47(3), 279–310.

Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327.

Chang, E. C., Cheng, J. W., & Khorana, A. (2000). An examination of herd behaviour in equity markets: An international perspective. Journal of Banking & Finance, 24(10), 1651–1679.

De Bondt, W. F. M., & Thaler, R. (1985). Does the stock market overreact? The Journal of Finance, 40(3), 793–805.

De Long, J. B., Shleifer, A., Summers, L. H., & Waldmann, R. J. (1990). Noise trader risk in financial markets. Journal of Political Economy, 98(4), 703–738.

Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007.

Glosten, L. R., Jagannathan, R., & Runkle, D. E. (1993). On the relation between the expected value and the volatility of the nominal excess return on stocks. The Journal of Finance, 48(5), 1779–1801.

Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263–291.

Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370.

Odean, T. (1998). Volume, volatility, price, and profit when all traders are above average. The Journal of Finance, 53(6), 1887–1934.

Shefrin, H., & Statman, M. (1985). The disposition to sell winners too early and ride losers too long: Theory and evidence. The Journal of Finance, 40(3), 777–790.

Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Science, 185(4157), 1124–1131.

Downloads

Published

2026-10-10

How to Cite

Behavioural Biases as Determinants of Stock Market Volatility: Evidence from the Indian Equity Market. (2026). IJournals:International Journal of Social Relevance & Concern ISSN:2347-9698, 14(9). https://doi.org/10.26821/ijsrc.14.9.2026.140903

Similar Articles

1-10 of 30

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.

Most read articles by the same author(s)